The yield curve can tell us a lot about where the economy is headed. Here’s how the yield curve works and how you can use it ...

An inverted yield curve, high borrowing rates, elevated delinquencies and inflation may impact economy. Click to find out ...

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields. Read the latest update, as of March 14, 2025. Click here to find out more ...

For example, in June 2023 ... Yet, nearly two years later, we still have yet to face a recession. The previous yield curve inversion, which began in 2022, also hasn't resulted in a recession ...

Thanks to reporting lags and number revisions, recessions typically aren’t declared until well after they have begun.

Belief in the fairy tale known as Modern Monetary Theory not only is endemic in US academic and government circles, but is ...

For example, if you buy a stock at $20 that pays ... The Federal Reserve will try to flatten the yield curve to drop the 10-year bond and longer rates. Quality ultra-high-yield stocks should ...

Having an investment portfolio chock full of dividend-paying stocks can provide an income boost, but experts say it's ...

Absent a credit crunch, interest rates fall in a recession because the downturn suppresses loan demand while stimulating the supply of savings. In fact, that tendency precedes recessions, as shown by ...

When artificial intelligence-backed tractors became available to vineyards, Tom Gamble wanted to be an early adopter. He knew ...